Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 3.624471 3.856839 4.105049 4.391409 4.714596 5.070376 5.494918
2024-10-13 3.255593 3.557064 3.894877 4.306062 4.799592 5.381857 6.135076
2024-10-20 2.966257 3.306051 3.701056 4.202869 4.836950 5.632041 6.741425
2024-10-27 2.711645 3.069036 3.496628 4.058959 4.800837 5.782214 7.251403
2024-11-03 2.612742 3.008736 3.498371 4.169102 5.101964 6.423652 8.602625
2024-11-10 2.547714 2.983315 3.539599 4.333786 5.501725 7.288352 10.599443
2024-11-17 2.405839 2.847705 3.424010 4.269917 5.563142 7.655592 11.910497
2024-11-24 2.269436 2.709397 3.293017 4.169357 5.553623 7.906261 13.125533
2024-12-01 2.160434 2.600297 3.193293 4.103589 5.589044 8.245281 14.735015
2024-12-08 2.070133 2.510711 3.113836 4.059590 5.653297 8.655691 16.819191
2024-12-15 2.022457 2.476347 3.109773 4.130486 5.924875 9.557592 21.188436
2024-12-22 1.924581 2.366369 2.988176 4.002495 5.820650 9.630278 22.921285
2024-12-29 1.868623 2.321078 2.971337 4.064955 6.125336 10.860108 32.345021
2025-01-05 1.783115 2.228862 2.877885 3.990831 6.157265 11.465939 41.483129
2025-01-12 1.701261 2.137785 2.780390 3.900754 6.144750 11.975958 53.893493
2025-01-19 1.618174 2.040918 2.668073 3.774507 6.037014 12.182710 67.026815
2025-01-26 1.590096 2.023809 2.679667 3.871620 6.442987 14.331351 187.393661
2025-02-02 1.572670 2.021407 2.714329 4.016238 7.006181 17.747778 NaN
2025-02-09 1.518505 1.960105 2.648251 3.960421 7.061808 19.123563 NaN
2025-02-16 1.462595 1.893602 2.569591 3.872256 7.016280 20.011364 NaN
2025-02-23 1.416051 1.839634 2.508913 3.814493 7.044103 21.438579 NaN
2025-03-02 1.376019 1.794108 2.459912 3.775807 7.119604 23.386692 NaN
2025-03-09 1.355289 1.777876 2.459845 3.838267 7.510980 28.694073 NaN